In Moore v. United States, the Supreme Court (SCOTUS) sidestepped the question of whether it is constitutional to tax unrealized income—but four opinions (two concurring and two dissenting) suggest that at least four of the current SCOTUS justices might in another case find it is unconstitutional to tax income until it is realized.

Both House and Senate tax writers continue their preparations for the 2025 tax bill. More potential targets for revenue-raising tax provisions have emerged.

House Ways & Means Committee Republicans have formed ten issue-specific “tax teams” to work on what to include in the looming 2025 major tax bill. Senate Finance Committee Republicans will tackle these issues in six “working groups.” Both say they “may” include Democrats in their deliberations at some point, but for now, it is an all-GOP effort.

Recurring revenue estimates of the cost of extending the expiring 2017 tax cuts suggest that revenue will play a major role in the debate over the upcoming tax bill in 2025. After at least five revenue estimates, all covering a 10-year period that includes 2028, projections of the revenue lost due to current tax rules keep going up.

The House-passed tax bill, H.R.7024, remains stalled in the Senate. However, its chief Senate sponsor, Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR), says the bill is not dead. Sen. Wyden says he continues to work with Senate leadership to schedule Senate floor time on the bill.

In Connelly vs. United States, the Supreme Court (SCOTUS) ruled that life insurance proceeds increased the value of a closely held business’ stock and therefore had to be included in valuation of the company for estate tax purposes. The ruling impacts some buy-sell agreements where the life insurance is owned by the company rather than by the individuals who own the company.

NAIFA’s May 20-21 Congressional Conference participants will fan out over Capitol Hill to educate lawmakers on key issues impacting NAIFA members and their clients. Several hundred participants from almost every state and Congressional District will also establish and grow the constituent-lawmaker relationships that are so key to favorable legislative outcomes.

There will be a major tax bill in 2025, as both Republicans and Democrats contend with the looming expiration of most of the current tax code’s individual and estate tax rules. Scheduled for expiration at the end of 2025 are income and capital gains tax rates for individuals as well as the current $12+ million exemption from the estate tax. Tax policy will play a key role in the debate, but so will revenue—the cost of extending the 2017 rules is astronomical. And lawmakers are already looking at other tax issues—like, for example, the corporate tax rate—that are not scheduled to expire but are intrinsic to both tax policy and revenue issues.

The House Ways & Means Committee held a hearing on April 30 with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen as the sole witness. The hearing focused on the Biden budget tax proposals, and on the issues surrounding the scheduled expiration of the 2017 individual and estate tax rules.

The tax-writing House Ways & Means Committee held a hearing on April 11 on the TCJA and its expiring individual and estate tax provisions. Predictably, the hearing showcased GOP support for extending the TCJA’s individual and estate tax rules that expire at the end of 2025. Democrats, on the other hand, called for more taxes to be paid by corporations and “the rich.”

Republican Senators are growing increasingly reluctant to vote any time soon on the House-passed bill that would, among other things, allow for more generous business equipment depreciation and business loan interest deductibility. The bill would need 60 votes, and therefore at least ten Republicans, to pass the Senate. However, some key GOP Senators are demanding changes, while others urge waiting until next year when they think they will be in a stronger position.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and Reps. Pramila Jayapal (D-WA) and Brendan Boyle (D-PA) have reintroduced their wealth tax legislation that would impose increased tax liability on the ultra-wealthy. The bill would impact taxpayers with household income in excess of $50 million.

On March 19, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) proposed a new rule governing charitable remainder annuity trusts (CRATs). The new rule, if finalized, would curtail the use of CRATs as a tax avoidance mechanism.

President Biden’s March 7 State of the Union (SOTU) speech teed up a raft of issues important to NAIFA members and their clients. These are issues that will shape the pre-November election campaigns and the Congressional agenda for both 2024 and 2025.

The $7.3 trillion Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 Biden budget proposal, released March 11, includes $4.9 trillion in new taxes—mostly in corporate and “tax the rich” proposals—with $3 trillion of that allocated to deficit reduction. The budget spending proposals for FY 2025 are in line with the spending targets set in last year’s Fiscal Responsibility Act (FRA). According to the budget documents, it would reduce the deficit by some $3 trillion over ten years.

On January 31, the House of Representatives passed a $78 billion tax package, H.R.7024, the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act. The bill contains some provisions that may be helpful to NAIFA members, i.e., increased expensing, a higher reporting threshold, and larger business loan interest deductibility. It also contains, as an offset, a provision that cuts off new ERTC claims.

The individual income, capital gains, and estate tax rules enacted in 2017 expire at the end of 2025. These were significant tax cuts and already Congress and the private sector are gearing up for a major battle over which of these rates and rules should be extended or allowed to sunset. One such rule that is key to many NAIFA members is section 199A, the 20 percent deduction for certain noncorporate business income.

When the first session of the 118^th Congress ended last month, lawmakers left undone controversial and pressing business that will make January a difficult month. Pending are government funding, international aid, and expiring law issues on which there is as yet little or no consensus. Caught in the crosshairs are a tax package with provisions of interest to NAIFA members, extension of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), and proposals to defund regulatory initiatives like the fiduciary-only rule.

Last month, Congress’ Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) released its annual “tax expenditure report.” This is a list of many tax code rules that result in the government not collecting tax on what would otherwise be taxable income. Many of these rules directly benefit life and health insurance, retirement savings, employer-provided benefits, and general investments.

Treasury and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) have announced increased enforcement in connection with employee retention tax credit (ERTC) claims. The agencies are warning about more scrutiny as a result of what they call massive fraud in the pandemic-era tax rule. Now, some in Congress are pushing back, concerned that legitimate claims are not being paid as a result of this increased scrutiny. In addition, Congressional tax writers are looking at the ERTC as a possible source of offsetting revenue for the emerging tax bill (see story below).